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Germany, the failure of the government coalition, what happens next?

2024-11-08 08:54:00, Kosova & Bota CNA

Germany, the failure of the government coalition, what happens next?

There will be new elections, but when? Chancellor Olaf Scholz wants to rule with a minority government of Social Democrats and environmentalists until January 2025. The opposition in the Bundestag wants elections as soon as possible.

What can happen and what should happen? This is the question posed after the failure of the coalition made up of social democrats, environmentalists and liberal democrats. A question to which Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD) answers quite differently from the opposition. This requires not wasting time. The conservative Christian Democratic/Social Democratic Union (CDU/CSU), which according to current polls has the best chance of being the main force in the elections, immediately calls for early elections.

Already on Thursday morning (07.11.2024) the meeting of the leadership of the party took place with the parliamentary group with the chairman of the party Friedrich Merz. "The tripartite coalition does not have a majority in the Bundestag and thus we ask the chancellor - this even with a unanimous decision of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group - to now immediately present the request for a vote of confidence in the parliament at the beginning of next week ", declared Merz.

Chancellor Olaf Scholz does not want to be imposed

The vote of confidence means that the chancellor himself will ask for it. Normally he has the majority in parliament. But now, with the failure of the coalition, he has the support of only the social democrats and ecologists, while the liberal-democratic deputies no longer support him. If the chancellor loses the vote of confidence, then the basic law clearly defines the further procedure, leading to new elections.

But Scholz has his own timetable, which he communicated on Wednesday evening, and he will stick to it. He wants on January 15, 2025 to present the request for a vote of confidence and until then continue to lead with a minority government made up of social democrats and environmentalists. "The government continues its work, so it will be in the coming weeks and months, and the citizens will soon have the opportunity to decide again, how to proceed further", he said at a conference of the advice of the Telekom company. where he attended as planned on Thursday morning. The opposition in the Bundestag can only oust the chancellor with a majority

The SPD and the Greens want to pass some laws before the new elections, so they need time to position themselves for the new elections. In the polls, both of these parties have very weak values, this government is even rated as the most unpopular in the history of the Federal Republic of Germany. This time they can really create for themselves, because no one can force the chancellor to face the confidence vote process.

The basic law foresees for the opposition the possibility of a so-called constructive no-confidence vote. But for this the opposition parties need to create a majority of their own and this would only be possible if the CDU/CSU joins all other parties in the parliament except the social democrats and the ecologists – that is, with the partly extreme right party AfD. But the conservative union does not even propose cooperation with this party.

"Creeping Political Bankruptcy"

Friedrich Merz, who will run in the next elections as the CDU/CSU chancellor candidate, is in a hurry. He says that postponing new elections is just "dragging political bankruptcy". The same tones are used by the Prime Minister of Bavaria, the Christian Socialist Markus Söder, who also expressed his desire to move as soon as possible to the voting process and new elections. "Scholz, Habeck and Lindner have failed completely," Söder said in Munich. He described the collapse of the coalition as "a symbol of the fall of Germany".

The Chancellor as well as the Vice-Chancellor and Minister of Economy, Robert Habeck, want to stick to the schedule. The SPD and the Greens are not a "coalition in commissar position", but a minority government capable of acting at the international level as well./ DW





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