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Russian President Vladimir Putin will visit Hungary in the very near future, where he will meet with his US counterpart Donald Trump for a second summit on ending the war in Ukraine. The first, in Alaska in August, failed to produce any agreement.
But, with an International Criminal Court (ICC) arrest warrant issued in 2023 for Putin's arrest for the alleged illegal deportation of Ukrainian children during Russia's war with Ukraine, how will Putin get to the negotiating table?
Signatories to the 1998 Rome Statute, which established the Hague-based court in 2002, are obliged to arrest those subject to arrest warrants as soon as they enter their territory, which theoretically includes airspace, which is also considered sovereign territory under international law.
Hungary, which recently declared its intention to withdraw from the agreement, making it a safe space for Putin, is surrounded by countries that would be bound by the agreement.
However, the ICC, which has 125 member states, has no police force and therefore no means to enforce arrests.
Isn't Hungary technically also a member of the ICC?
On paper, yes. But it's going away.
In April, right-wing populist Prime Minister Viktor Orban announced that the country would withdraw from the ICC’s founding document when Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu paid a visit. Netanyahu is also on the ICC’s most wanted list for war crimes in Gaza, and an arrest warrant was issued for him earlier this year.
Putin will probably want to avoid the Baltic states after recent violations of Estonian airspace by Russian aircraft, which have put the region on high alert for a possible escalation of the conflict from the Ukraine war.
Therefore, Putin's direct path to Budapest seems fraught with obstacles.
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