The "drama" of exports deepens/ They fall by 12.8% in September, textiles and shoes in difficulty

2023-10-17 07:27:00, Ekonomi CNA

The "drama" of exports deepens/ They fall by 12.8% in September,

Illustrative photo

Exports have continued their downward trend for the eighth month in a row, reflecting both a drop in product prices on international exchanges and the consequences that the fall of the euro is having on exporters' incomes.

According to INSTAT, in September 2023, exports of goods reached the value of 34 billion ALL, decreasing by -12.8%, compared to the same period a year ago.

Since March, exports have failed to recover, marking the worst performance since the pandemic period. In January, sales abroad expanded by 20.2% on an annual basis, while in February they expanded by only 2.8%. The decline started in March, with 11.7%, deepened in April with 19.3% and followed the negative trend in May with -11.7%. In June the contraction deepened again to 17.3%, to slow down in July to -4%, jumping in August with -21.9% to continue in September with -12.8%.

The two groups that recorded the biggest contraction in September are "minerals, fuel and energy", with 27.5% and textiles and shoes with 9.5%. All other main groups were also in decline, with the exception of the two groups with the lowest weight such as leather and chemical products. "Food, drinks and tobacco", one of the groups with the best performance, marked the deepest drop of this year, with 13.9%.

According to INSTAT, During the month of September 2023, the reduction of exports by -12.8% was influenced by the following groups: "Minerals, fuels, electricity" with -5.7 percentage points, "Textiles and shoes" with -2.9 percentage points, "Construction materials and metals" with -1.7 percentage points, etc. While positively influenced the groups: "Chemical and plastic products" with +0.1 percentage points and "Leather and articles thereof" with +0.02 percentage points.

The deepening of the decline in September has worsened the performance for the entire 9 months. According to INSTAT, In this nine-month period, exports of goods reached the value of 333 billion ALL, decreasing by -9.0% compared to a year ago, from 8.6%, which was the contraction for the 8th month.

According to INSTAT, the groups that have negatively affected the annual decrease in exports are: "Construction materials and metals" with -7.2 percentage points, "Minerals, fuel, electricity" with -1.5 percentage points, "Textiles and shoes" with -0.9 percentage points, etc. While the groups: "Food, drinks, tobacco" with +1.4 percentage points and "Machinery, equipment and spare parts" with +0.4 percentage points have had a positive impact.

Fashion does not stop the fall

For the fourth month in a row, textile and footwear exports have followed the shrinking trend. In September, this group shrank by 9.5%, while for the whole 9 months the reduction reached 3.5%.

Sipas eksportuesve, arsyeja kryesore lidhet me rënien e ndjeshme të euros që ul të ardhurat e eksportuesve kur konvertohen në lekë. Faktorë të tjerë që kanë ndikuar janë rritja e pagës minimale që ka shtuar kostot e punës, tkurrja e kërkesës nga jashtë sidomos për këpucë (nga ndryshimi i motit, shitësit e pakicës kanë krijuar stoqe të mëdha), kriza ekonomike në Europë që ka ulur kërkesën si dhe zhvendosja e prodhuesve në Indi e vende të tjera të Azisë për shkak të kostove më të ulëta.

Eksportuesit janë ankuar vazhdimisht te Banka e Shqipërisë dhe Ministria e Financave për pasojat që po jep në aktivitetin e tyre zhvlerësimi i fortë i euros, që aktualisht këmbehet me rreth 106 lekë, nga 118 lekë që ishte mesatarja e 2022.

Së fundmi shoqata e eksportuesve tha se pasojat kanë filluar të ndihen dhe në punësim, teksa kompanitë po detyrohen të shkurtojnë punonjës, pas rënies së të ardhurave.

Mineralet e lëndët djegese vijojnë rënien

“Mineralet dhe lëndët djegëse” shënuan një rënie të thellë me 27.5% në shtator për të dytin muaj radhazi, pasi u rritën ndjeshëm me 39% në korrik. Ecuria e eksporteve të këtij grupi varet nga energjia si dhe nga numri i anijeve që arrin të dërgojë në një muaj Bankers Petroleum, prodhuesi më i madh i naftës në vend.

Për 9 mujorin, grupi ka shënuar një tkurrje prej 6.8%.

Materialet e ndërtimit dhe metalet frenojnë tkurrjen

Materialet e ndërtimit dhe metalet ngadalësuan ndjeshëm rënien në shtator (-8.6%), pasi ishin tkurrur me ritme të larta dyshifrore përgjatë 8 muajve të këtij viti. Sipas burimeve nga Kurum, një ndër eksportuesit më të mëdhenj në vend, tendenca lidhet me disa faktorë, si rënia e çmimeve, por dhe frenimi i kërkesës.

Për 9 mujorin, ky grup u tkurr me 31%, duke dhënë ndikimin më negativ në ecurinë e eksporteve.

Ushqimet, pijet dhe duhani, me rënien më të fortë të këtij viti

“Ushqimet, pijet dhe duhani” janë sektori që kanë pasur ecurinë më të qëndrueshme të eksporteve këtë vit. Në korrik ky grup i rriti eksportet me gati 20%. Megjithatë në gusht, ky grup shënoi një rënie relativisht të fortë me 9.7% me bazë vjetore, si rrjedhojë e motit të pafavorshëm që ndikoi në reduktimin e prodhimit. Tendenca rënëse u përkeqësua më tej në shtator, me gati 14% tkurrje të produkteve të shitura, që është ecuria më negative e këtij viti.

Gjithsesi për 9 mujorin, ky grup është zgjeruar me 14%, duke pasur ecurinë më të mire nga të gjitha grupet e tjera.

Edhe Industria automotive me rënie, nga kursi

Exports of machinery, equipment, spare parts were until March the group that was recording the best performance of exports as a result of the expansion of factories working in the automotive support industry. However, in April, this group also recorded a decrease in exports by 5.9% on an annual basis. However, in May, the group returned to growth, expanding by 10.5%. but, in June, the group recorded a decrease again, by 4.8%. The contraction continued in July with -3% and deepened in August, to 14.3. The downward trend continued in September, although at a slower rate of -1.3%. According to company representatives, the negative performance is related to the consequences that the devaluation of the euro is having on the activity of factories that produce or assemble spare parts for the automotive industry.

For the 9th month, the group has increased by about 5.6.

The deficit decreases

In this nine-month period, exports of goods reached the value of 333 billion ALL, decreasing by -9.0% compared to the previous year, while imports of goods reached the value of 650 billion ALL, decreasing by -6.5%, compared to one year ago. The trade deficit reached the value of 317 billion ALL, decreasing by -3.6%, compared to the same period of 2022.

Exports with Italy, Germany and Spain fall

According to INSTAT, in the month of September 2023, the countries with which Albania had the biggest decrease in exports, compared to September 2022, are: Italy (1.5%), Germany (48.4%), Spain (56.9 %), etc. While the countries with which exports have had the greatest growth are: Kosovo (29.4%), Greece (13.9%), China (135.6%), etc.

During this nine-month period, the countries with which Albania had the biggest decrease in exports, compared to a year ago, are: Italy (10.0%), Germany (31.1%), USA (71.3%) , etc. While the countries with which exports have had the greatest growth are: Kosovo (12.0%), Greece (16.8%), Macedonia (4.9%), etc.

In the month of September 2023, the countries with which Albania had the biggest decrease in imports are: Italy (5.7%), Turkey (58.7%), Greece (40.1%), etc. While the countries with which imports have had the greatest increase in imports, compared to September 2022, are: China (1.8%), USA (100.7%), Switzerland (129.7%), etc.

During this half-month, the countries with which Albania had the biggest decrease in imports, compared to a year ago, are: Italy (4.1%), Turkey (26.1%), Greece (25.1%) ), etc. While the countries with which imports have had the greatest growth are: China (27.6%), Germany (3.8%), USA (31.9%), etc./ Monitor Magazine